July 2023 IIBEC Interface • 37 THE LATEST QUARTERLY Market Index Survey for Reroofing results suggest that businesses in all three marketing segments (low-slope, steep-slope, and combined low-slope/steepslope reroofing) are in a period of expansion and optimism. The most recent Market Index Survey for Reroofing—sponsored by IIBEC and other trade associations in the roofing industry (Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association, Canadian Roofing Contractors Association, Chemical Fabrics and Film Association, EPDM Roofing Association, Metal Construction Association, Metal Roofing Alliance, National Roofing Contractors Association, National Women in Roofing, Polyisocyanurate Insulation Manufacturers Association, Roof Coatings Manufacturers Association, and Single Ply Roofing Industry)—shows trends among reroofing contractors and consultants from the first quarter of 2023. SURVEY DEMOGRAPHICS The Market Index Survey for Reroofing invites participation from roofing contractors and roofing consultants whose businesses are in the steep-slope, low-slope, or blended low-slope/ steep-slope market segments. In this quarter, Market Index Survey for Reroofing Finds Expansion in All Markets Quarterly reroofing report Join the Participant Pool! IIBEC encourages its members to participate in future Market Index Surveys for Reroofing. By participating, you can help ensure that the data are robust and fully reflect industry trends. Keep an eye on IIBEC’s weekly newsletter for announcements about survey participation and results. Figure 2. Project contracts vs. same quarter previous year: trended comparison. Figure 1. Customer inquiries vs. same quarter previous year: trended comparison. 38 • IIBEC Interface July 2023 Figure 3. Customer inquiries index. Figure 4. Project contracts index. The index is equal to the percentage indicating that customer inquiries have increased when compared to the same quarter of the previous year, plus one half of the percentage reporting no change. The total is multiplied by 100 to create the index. A score of 50 or higher suggests expansion or optimism, while a value below 50 indicates contraction or pessimism. The index is equal to the percentage indicating that project contracts have increased when compared to the same quarter of the previous year, plus one half of the percentage reporting no change. The total is multiplied by 100 to create the index. A score of 50 or higher suggests expansion or optimism, while a value below 50 indicates contraction or pessimism. 16% of respondents were consultants and the rest were contractors. Respondents working primarily in the steep-slope market segment comprised 18% of the participant pool, whereas 43% of participants came from the low-slope segment and 39% worked in both segments. The survey asked respondents to estimate their company’s annual gross revenues. They reported revenues ranging from less than US$1 million (15% of answers), US$1 million to US$5 million (26%), US$5 million to US$10 million (18%), US$10 million to US$25 million (20%), US$25 million to US$50 million (9%), US$50 million to US$100 million (4%), and more than US$100 million (3%). Four percent of respondents declined to answer this question. The regions reporting the most significant revenue in the latest survey were the South Atlantic region (Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia) and the East North Central region (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin). These two regions represented 22% and 20%, respectively, of the total revenue reported in the survey. July 2023 IIBEC Interface • 39 CUSTOMER INQUIRY AND PROJECT CONTRACT TRENDS Each quarter, the Market Index Survey for Reroofing includes two questions related to business expansion/contraction: • How does the number of customer inquiries at the participant’s company for the most recent three months (Q1 2023 in this survey) compare with the number from the same quarter of the previous year? • How does the number of project contracts for the most recent three months compare with the number from the same quarter of the previous year? Potential answers for these questions are a decrease of 5% to 25%, a decrease of more than 25%, no change, an increase of 5% to 25%, or an increase of more than 25%. In this survey, 41% of participants reported an increased volume of customer inquiries, and 48% reported that they had more project contracts in Q1 2023 than in Q1 2022. For customer inquiry and project contract trends since the fourth quarter of 2020, refer to Fig. 1 and 2. Survey data are indexed to indicate whether the data indicate market expansion or contraction. An index score equals the percentage of respondents who reported increased business plus one-half the percentage of respondents who reported no change, with the total multiplied by 100. A score equal to or greater than 50 suggests expansion (optimism). Figures 3 and 4 present the customer inquiry and project contract indexes for the low-slope, steep-slope, and blended market segments. The indexes show expansion in all three market segments in Q1 2023. The indexes for the three segments combined were 60.5 for customer inquiries (up from 56.9 in Q4 2022) and 62.5 for project contracts (compared with 55.2 in Q4 2022). The Q1 indexes for the reroofing industry as a whole, the low-slope segment, and the combined low-slope/steep-slope segment continue trends of optimism seen in 2021 and 2022. The index scores of 53.8 in customer inquiries and 60.0 in project contracts for the steep-slope market are welcome indicators of optimism in this market segment after periods of pessimism at the close of 2022. PROJECT BACKLOGS In April 2023, 82% of respondents reported that their companies had project backlogs. Figure 5 illustrates the project backlog trends by market segment.
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